Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.503652 2.663542 2.833051 3.026934 3.243553 3.479288 3.756823
2026-01-04 2.204489 2.416266 2.652363 2.937781 3.277228 3.672986 4.176944
2026-01-11 2.056794 2.299172 2.578654 2.929782 3.366687 3.903311 4.630746
2026-01-18 1.976112 2.245655 2.565481 2.981001 3.519451 4.213699 5.213971
2026-01-25 2.058113 2.388666 2.795720 3.348808 4.106932 5.155351 6.813181
2026-02-01 1.916101 2.242163 2.649597 3.213282 4.004120 5.131166 6.989612
2026-02-08 1.784667 2.100939 2.500412 3.060560 3.860364 5.026870 7.015176
2026-02-15 1.712425 2.031328 2.439693 3.022332 3.873621 5.154171 7.438415
2026-02-22 1.636080 1.952215 2.361370 2.953133 3.833733 5.191995 7.708704
2026-03-01 1.557240 1.866232 2.269312 2.858255 3.746885 5.144181 7.811803
2026-03-08 1.475286 1.773015 2.163408 2.737631 3.612022 5.004738 7.718253
2026-03-15 1.441521 1.742756 2.142058 2.737785 3.662940 5.178425 8.268139
2026-03-22 1.395429 1.698750 2.105968 2.723808 3.706280 5.372094 8.970328
2026-03-29 1.331742 1.628926 2.031416 2.649268 3.648292 5.384727 9.300659
2026-04-05 1.294677 1.593674 2.003419 2.642480 3.699818 5.602831 10.172719
2026-04-12 1.275538 1.582082 2.008164 2.685692 3.839077 6.009288 11.678964
2026-04-19 1.329995 1.676084 2.171785 2.993724 4.484880 7.599432 17.736360
2026-04-26 1.269952 1.603305 2.082401 2.880679 4.339914 7.427464 17.779549
2026-05-03 1.209518 1.528183 1.986840 2.752655 4.157113 7.145432 17.296381
2026-05-10 1.176666 1.492138 1.949383 2.720503 4.157085 7.298396 18.690709
2026-05-17 1.139314 1.448308 1.898260 2.662191 4.100631 7.305765 19.487591
2026-05-24 1.098601 1.398417 1.836123 2.582007 3.994754 7.175852 19.595096
2026-05-31 1.054349 1.342296 1.762797 2.479667 3.838387 6.901571 18.898242